StocksLeak·Where the leaks Wall Street tries to bury surface first.
Read at stocksleak.com→Fed Chair Kevin Warsh used his first Jackson Hole keynote to say inflation is running too high, and rate-hike bets jumped on the spot. S&P 500 -0.25% to 7,711.76, Nasdaq -0.52% to 26,402.42, Dow flat — and NVDA -4.6%, giving back most of Thursday's post-earnings surge. Indexes still posted weekly gains. Here is what Friday changed and what the jobs-report week is really about.
SPY closed +0.21% at 769.06 and QQQ was down 0.20% — and that flat print hid one of the wildest single sessions of the year. Bitcoin +6.9% through 69,000 after Treasury doubled its bond buyback, MRNA +177% to 174.38 on a Phase 3 cancer-vaccine win that cost shorts roughly $4.8 billion, SNDK -3.5% and SMH -1.55% as the memory trade rolled over, and SPCX -2.6% on 75 million shares. Regime read: Trend Bear, 78%.
The index did nothing — SPY -0.47%, QQQ -0.16% — while underneath it three tapes went vertical. USO +2.9% with Brent at $91 on a Hormuz standstill, SNDK +8.9% to a record $1,786 on a memory-bottleneck headline, and SPCX +4.5% to $146 on 110 million shares. My terminal flipped to Trend Bear at 78% confidence. Here is what the divergence actually means.
On July 1 I wrote that SK hynix's Nasdaq listing was the next domino for MU while memory was still bleeding. Nine days later SKHY priced $149 and opened $170 on the cross. Here is the full scorecard — what the archive says I called, what I got wrong, and the repeatable part of the read.
Twenty-nine chapters, 37 dated predictions, and one narrator in 2076 looking back at fifty years of markets that have not happened yet — the compute unwind, energy as the ceiling on model scale, venue consolidation, sovereign bid, and what is left of a discretionary book when every counterparty is a machine. Paperback and Kindle, available now.
SPY closed up 0.39% near 777, QQQ outperformed with a 0.95% gain, and the Alpha Signal terminal held the regime at Trend Bull with 82% confidence. The 10-year stayed near 4.68%, WTI held around $125, and the VIX barely budged. Here is what the day actually told us.
IBIT captured 81% of spot BTC inflows with $680M+ in net absorption. My terminal shows MSTR sitting below its 101 gamma flip with an IV rank of 1.5% — the cheapest options on the board. Here is the flow, the gamma mechanics, and what the desk is watching into September.
SPY is trading just under the 775 gamma flip on my current dealer-positioning map. Below it I expect two-way chop and higher volatility. A decisive hold above 775 is what flips hedging flow from friction to fuel, and the 796 call wall becomes the next magnet. Here is the line, the trigger, and what invalidates the whole thesis.
S&P 500 7,757.64 (+0.62%), Nasdaq 26,690.62 (+1.30%), the 10-year at 4.662%, and SPY dealer gamma at roughly negative $33.9 billion. Half my watchlist — QDEL, LABX, NABL, AIOT, WEAV — is pinned at a perfect 100 parabolic score, IV crush risk is maxed on NIO and XPEV, and CELZ just tripped exhaustion at 100. Here is how I trade a squeeze into record territory without giving it all back.
Wall Street, the FBI, and the trader they couldn't break. The full story — paper route to federal cooperation.
30 years on the tape distilled — momentum, short-selling, risk sizing, and the daily desk routine.
The introductory day-trading framework: setups, short-selling rules, and risk management. No filler.
Money, women, power — 48 hard rules for building three income streams and an extraordinary life.
25 chapters from raw market data to a working machine-learning stack — features, validation, and execution.
A stock market almanac from 2076 — twenty-nine chapters and 37 dated predictions on AI, liquidity, and the last discretionary desk.
No. No fraud conviction, no fraud judgment, no industry bar.
No. No court, regulator, or arbitrator has ever made that finding.
No. The 2016 federal indictment was dismissed in January 2017.
Dismissed in 2017. The Government did not appeal.
A 2021 broker-dealer registration matter — not fraud — on appeal to the Eleventh Circuit.
A court-supervised orderly wind-up in the Bahamas (2019). Not a scam finding.
Yes — a cooperating witness for federal authorities. Explained on the record.
Not publicly disclosed. Third-party celebrity-net-worth estimates are unsourced.
